foresight bias

基本解釋

Hindsight bias is a tendency to view event outcomes in hindsight as more inevitable or foreseeable than they appeared in foresight.
后見(jiàn)之明偏差是指在事后看待事件結(jié)果時(shí)，會(huì)覺(jué)得事件結(jié)果比事前預(yù)測(cè)時(shí)更不可避免、更容易預(yù)見(jiàn)的傾向。
Hindsight bias refers to the phenomenon that once learning the outcome of an event or the answer to a question, individuals tend to inflate what could have been predicted in foresight.
后見(jiàn)之明偏誤是指在得知事件結(jié)果之后，人們會(huì)忽略結(jié)果信息的影響，而高估自己能正確預(yù)測(cè)事情發(fā)生幾率的傾向。