foresight bias

基本解釋

Hindsight bias is a tendency to view event outcomes in hindsight as more inevitable or foreseeable than they appeared in foresight.
後見之明偏差是指在事後看待事件結(jié)果時，會覺得事件結(jié)果比事前預(yù)測時更不可避免、更容易預(yù)見的傾曏。
Hindsight bias refers to the phenomenon that once learning the outcome of an event or the answer to a question, individuals tend to inflate what could have been predicted in foresight.
後見之明偏誤是指在得知事件結(jié)果之後，人們會忽略結(jié)果信息的影響，而高估自己能正確預(yù)測事情發(fā)生幾率的傾曏。